Whither Discontinuity?

I’m writing a series of posts clarifying my position on the intelligence explosion hypothesis and today I want to discuss discontinuity. This partially addresses the ‘explosion’ part of ‘intelligence explosion’. Given the fact that most developments in the history of the universe have not been discontinuous, what reason do we have to suspect that an AI takeoff […]

Takeoff Speed II: Recalcitrance in AI pathways to Superintelligence.

I’m writing a series of posts clarifying my position on the intelligence explosion hypothesis. Last time I took a look at various non-AI pathways to Superintelligence and concluded that the recalcitrance profile for most of them was moderate to high. This doesn’t mean it isn’t possible to reach Superintelligence via these routes, but it does […]

Takeoff Speed, I: Recalcitrance In Non-AI Pathways to Superintelligence

I’m writing a series of posts clarifying my position on the Intelligence Explosion hypothesis. Though I feel that the case for such an event is fairly compelling, it’s far less certain how fast the ‘takeoff’ will be, where ‘takeoff’ is defined as the elapsed time from having a roughly human-level intelligence to a superintelligence. Once […]

Peripatesis: Controlling A God, Hannibal Leaves Italy.

‘Peripatesis’ is a made-up word related to the word ‘peripatetic’, which is an adjective that means ‘roaming’ or ‘meandering’. I’ve always liked to think of knowledge as a huge structure through which a person could walk, sprint, dive, climb, or fly in as straightforward or peripatetic a fashion as they like. Here’s are my recent wanderings and wonderings: Bostrom, […]